← Back to Predictions

Lucio Ratti vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro — Prediction

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - 1. round 19:30

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

83.28%

Average Odds

1.14  /  4.62

Market probability

80.21%  /  19.79%

Why This Prediction?

Lucio Ratti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1511 vs 1252), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1511 vs 1263) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.25).

Player Comparison

1510.9 Elo 1251.6
1510.6 Elo (surface) 1263.0
20 Wins (Challenger) 5
17 Wins (surface) 5
6 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.939 Dominance ratio 0.750
383 Rank 977
22.7 Age 23.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%
38.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.50

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%
51.2%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%
41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro have never played each other.

Lucio Ratti — Last 10

L L L W L W L L W W

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro — Last 10

L L L W L W L W L L