ATP tennis predict — Lucio Ratti vs Federico Zeballos

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · qualification - round of 16 20:00

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

85.34%

Federico Zeballos

Bolivia

14.66%

Average Odds

1.09 / 6.30

Market probability

85.25% / 14.75%

Why This Prediction?

Lucio Ratti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1496 vs 1348), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1496 vs 1367) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1495.8 Elo 1347.6

1495.5 Elo (surface) 1367.2

21 Wins (Challenger) 42

18 Wins (surface) 29

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.939 Dominance ratio 0.967

389 Rank 1183

22.7 Age 38.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Federico Zeballos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Federico Zeballos

1st Serve In %

—

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.3%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.6%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Federico Zeballos

Break Points Saved %

—

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.0%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

52.8%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti and Federico Zeballos have never played each other.

Lucio Ratti vs Federico Zeballos — Prediction