ATP tennis predict — Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

51.31%

Federico Coria

Argentina

48.69%

Average Odds

1.73 / 1.99

Market probability

53.49% / 46.51%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1527.2 Elo 1665.3

1526.9 Elo (surface) 1677

20 Wins (Challenger) 259

17 Wins (surface) 255

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.939 Dominance ratio 1.035

373 Rank 902

22.6 Age 34.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Federico Coria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Federico Coria

1st Serve In %

—

66.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

63.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Federico Coria

Break Points Saved %

—

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti 0 – 0 Federico Coria

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Federico Coria #902

Lucio Ratti #373

6-7 6-3 7-5

2 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 56

16 Second Serve Won 21

3 Break Points Saved 17

11 Break Points Faced 23

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria — Prediction