ATP tennis predict — Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Oleksii Krutykh

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:10

Predicted probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Argentina

43.82%

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

56.18%

Average Odds

2.16 / 1.64

Market probability

43.16% / 56.84%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1574 vs 1547), more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0) and a stronger return game (40.4% vs 39.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1546.5 Elo 1573.9

1564.9 Elo (surface) 1549.2

66 Wins (Challenger) 99

65 Wins (surface) 72

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.931 Dominance ratio 1.094

319 Rank 526

22.7 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Oleksii Krutykh

1st Serve In %

—

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Oleksii Krutykh

Break Points Saved %

—

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

43.3%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 0 – 1 Oleksii Krutykh

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Oleksii Krutykh #526

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #319

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

54 Service Points 42

30 First Serve In 22

18 First Serve Won 19

11 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Oleksii Krutykh #527

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #311

6-3 6-1

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

51 Service Points 53

24 First Serve In 31

21 First Serve Won 16

15 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Oleksii Krutykh — Prediction