ATP tennis predict — Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Argentina

42.08%

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

57.92%

Average Odds

2.03 / 1.72

Market probability

45.87% / 54.13%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolas Kicker is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (181 vs 63), a stronger return game (48.5% vs 36.1% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1622 vs 1582).

Player Comparison

1557.7 Elo 1587.3

1581.6 Elo (surface) 1622.1

64 Wins (Challenger) 197

63 Wins (surface) 181

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.875 Dominance ratio 1.336

265 Rank 497

22.7 Age 33.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Nicolas Kicker

1st Serve In %

—

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

69.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%

40.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Nicolas Kicker

Break Points Saved %

—

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

43.3%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

59.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 0 – 1 Nicolas Kicker

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Nicolas Kicker #369

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #311

6-2 6-4

3 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

66 Service Points 55

41 First Serve In 35

22 First Serve Won 23

11 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Clay Buenos Aires Tigre CH · 2025-01-13

R32

Nicolas Kicker #786

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #409

3-6 6-3 6-0

1 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 4

84 Service Points 82

44 First Serve In 52

31 First Serve Won 37

25 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker — Prediction