ATP tennis predict — Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Duje Ajdukovic

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 10:05

Predicted probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Argentina

38.89%

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

61.11%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.71

Market probability

45.60% / 54.40%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1626 vs 1524), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1578 vs 1546) and a stronger return game (42.4% vs 36.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1524.0 Elo 1626.2

1546.2 Elo (surface) 1577.9

64 Wins (Challenger) 154

63 Wins (surface) 103

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.877 Dominance ratio 1.091

313 Rank 302

22.7 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Duje Ajdukovic

1st Serve In %

—

69.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Duje Ajdukovic

Break Points Saved %

—

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

43.3%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 0 – 0 Duje Ajdukovic

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #313

Duje Ajdukovic #302

3-6 7-6 6-2

6 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

85 Service Points 103

51 First Serve In 55

41 First Serve Won 36

20 Second Serve Won 30

5 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Duje Ajdukovic — Prediction