ATP tennis predict — Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 17:10

Predicted probability

Luciano Darderi

Italy

45.33%

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

54.67%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.20

Market probability

56.85% / 43.15%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1773.2 Elo 1721.8

1577.9 Elo (surface) 1577.2

95 Wins 38

20 Wins (surface) 31

9 Last 15 form 8

3 Head-to-head wins 2

0.960 Dominance ratio 1.142

22 Rank 134

24.6 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luciano Darderi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Darderi Dalibor Svrcina

1st Serve In %

58.3%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

43.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.77

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.2%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luciano Darderi Dalibor Svrcina

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.2%

53.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luciano Darderi 3 – 2 Dalibor Svrcina

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Luciano Darderi #22

Dalibor Svrcina #134

6-3 6-7 6-4 6-4

16 Aces 11

9 Double Faults 20

163 Service Points 129

91 First Serve In 67

59 First Serve Won 48

31 Second Serve Won 16

13 Break Points Saved 11

20 Break Points Faced 21

53 Winners 70

34 Unforced Errors 63

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-30

R16

Dalibor Svrcina #116

Luciano Darderi #23

3-0

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

10 Service Points 27

7 First Serve In 15

7 First Serve Won 8

1 Second Serve Won 4

0 Break Points Saved 6

0 Break Points Faced 7

8 Winners 7

3 Unforced Errors 12

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Naples CH · 2025-03-24

SF

Luciano Darderi #61

Dalibor Svrcina #165

1-6 6-2 7-5

5 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

94 Service Points 81

62 First Serve In 61

32 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 8

6 Break Points Saved 4

13 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Guayaquil CH · 2023-10-30

R32

Luciano Darderi #140

Dalibor Svrcina #162

6-2 6-3

6 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

40 Service Points 49

22 First Serve In 33

18 First Serve Won 15

8 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Prostejov CH · 2023-06-05

R32

Dalibor Svrcina #232

Luciano Darderi #179

5-7 6-4 6-0

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

97 Service Points 108

74 First Serve In 69

47 First Serve Won 35

9 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Iasi CH · 2022-07-11

R16

Luciano Darderi #215

Dalibor Svrcina #172

5-7 7-5 7-6(6)

5 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 10

144 Service Points 112

80 First Serve In 83

51 First Serve Won 50

28 Second Serve Won 9

13 Break Points Saved 5

20 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Luciano Darderi — Last 10

Dalibor Svrcina — Last 10