ATP tennis predict — Lucas Poullain vs Remy Bertola

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Lucas Poullain

France

46.83%

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

53.17%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.57

Market probability

40.99% / 59.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1715.8 Elo 1710.9

1707.2 Elo (surface) 1649.0

72 Wins (Challenger) 103

62 Wins (surface) 49

11 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.017 Dominance ratio 0.955

334 Rank 226

30.8 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Remy Bertola

1st Serve In %

—

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

51.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Remy Bertola

Break Points Saved %

—

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

46.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucas Poullain 0 – 0 Remy Bertola

Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 2026-09-30

R16

Lucas Poullain #334

Remy Bertola #226

3-6 7-5 6-3

4 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

58 First Serve Won 39

7 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Lucas Poullain vs Remy Bertola — Prediction