ATP tennis predict — Lucas Poullain vs Gijs Brouwer

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · SF 16:00

Predicted probability

Lucas Poullain

France

48.62%

Gijs Brouwer

Netherlands

51.38%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.39

Market probability

60.97% / 39.03%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1636.5 Elo 1578.3

1576.2 Elo (surface) 1592.7

64 Wins (Challenger) 96

54 Wins (surface) 71

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.081 Dominance ratio 0.942

500 Rank 1156

30.7 Age 30.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Gijs Brouwer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Gijs Brouwer

1st Serve In %

—

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

36.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Gijs Brouwer

Break Points Saved %

—

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

44.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucas Poullain 0 – 0 Gijs Brouwer

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-08

SF

Lucas Poullain #500

Gijs Brouwer #1156

6-1 6-0

3 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 34

32 First Serve In 24

26 First Serve Won 9

5 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Lucas Poullain vs Gijs Brouwer — Prediction