ATP tennis predict — Lucas Poullain vs Clement Chidekh

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Lucas Poullain

France

32.84%

Clement Chidekh

France

67.16%

Average Odds

2.64 / 1.40

Market probability

34.65% / 65.35%

Why This Prediction?

Clement Chidekh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1751 vs 1699), better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more wins on hard courts (8 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1707.4 Elo 1747.6

1698.5 Elo (surface) 1750.5

71 Wins (Challenger) 84

61 Wins (surface) 72

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.017 Dominance ratio 0.848

337 Rank 191

30.8 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Clement Chidekh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Clement Chidekh

1st Serve In %

—

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Clement Chidekh

Break Points Saved %

—

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucas Poullain 0 – 0 Clement Chidekh

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Clement Chidekh #191

Lucas Poullain #337

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 30

7 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Lucas Poullain vs Clement Chidekh — Prediction