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Lucas Poullain vs Arvid Nordquist — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Lucas Poullain

France

94.38%

Arvid Nordquist

Sweden

5.62%

Average Odds

1.12  /  5.62

Market probability

83.38%  /  16.62%

Why This Prediction?

Lucas Poullain is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1698 vs 1442), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1664 vs 1500) and more career match wins (70 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1697.8 Elo 1442.3
1664.4 Elo (surface) 1500
70 Wins (Challenger) 1
60 Wins (surface) 0
11 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.039 Dominance ratio 0.743
369 Rank 849
30.7 Age 28.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Arvid Nordquist

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Arvid Nordquist

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
73.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%
59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%
54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%
38.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.23
0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Poullain Arvid Nordquist

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%
47.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucas Poullain and Arvid Nordquist have never played each other.

Lucas Poullain — Last 10

L W L L W W W W W W

Arvid Nordquist — Last 5

L L L W L