ATP tennis predict — Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Pietro Fellin

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Brazil

54.31%

Pietro Fellin

Italy

45.69%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.34

Market probability

60.15% / 39.85%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1644.0 Elo 1526.9

1500 Elo (surface) 1389.3

9 Wins (Challenger) 19

0 Wins (surface) 13

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.086 Dominance ratio 1.114

810 Rank 534

21.6 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Pietro Fellin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Andrade Da Silva Pietro Fellin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucas Andrade Da Silva Pietro Fellin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucas Andrade Da Silva 0 – 0 Pietro Fellin

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Lucas Andrade Da Silva #820

Pietro Fellin #539

6-1 7-6

6 Aces 0

7 Double Faults 6

60 Service Points 64

42 First Serve In 38

30 First Serve Won 21

8 Second Serve Won 10

4 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Pietro Fellin — Prediction