ATP tennis predict — Luca Wiedenmann vs Yanaki Milev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Luca Wiedenmann

Germany

14.55%

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

85.45%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.55

Market probability

39.85% / 60.15%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1580 vs 1494), a higher Elo rating (1583 vs 1497) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1496.7 Elo 1582.6

1494.0 Elo (surface) 1580.2

5 Wins (Challenger) 20

5 Wins (surface) 19

5 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.934 Dominance ratio 1.019

530 Rank 627

28.4 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Wiedenmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Wiedenmann Yanaki Milev

1st Serve In %

—

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

55.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Wiedenmann Yanaki Milev

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Wiedenmann 0 – 0 Yanaki Milev

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Yanaki Milev #627

Luca Wiedenmann #530

6-2 6-1

0 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

10 First Serve Won 19

8 Second Serve Won 19

1 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Luca Wiedenmann vs Yanaki Milev — Prediction