ATP tennis predict — Luca Wiedenmann vs Thiago Cigarran

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:05

Predicted probability

Luca Wiedenmann

Germany

46.64%

Thiago Cigarran

Argentina

53.36%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.50

Market probability

73.38% / 26.62%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1588.7 Elo 1413.5

1591.8 Elo (surface) 1429.6

4 Wins (Challenger) 15

4 Wins (surface) 15

4 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.895 Dominance ratio 1.068

545 Rank 694

28.3 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Wiedenmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Thiago Cigarran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Wiedenmann Thiago Cigarran

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Wiedenmann Thiago Cigarran

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Wiedenmann 0 – 0 Thiago Cigarran

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Thiago Cigarran #694

Luca Wiedenmann #545

2-6 6-4 6-3

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

102 Service Points 83

66 First Serve In 48

40 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 21

9 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.5 Average Odds 1.3

Luca Wiedenmann vs Thiago Cigarran — Prediction