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Luca Wiedenmann vs Henry Bernet — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Luca Wiedenmann

Germany

25.38%

Henry Bernet

Switzerland

74.62%

Average Odds

3.83  /  1.23

Market probability

24.31%  /  75.69%

Why This Prediction?

Henry Bernet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1598 vs 1486), a higher Elo rating (1577 vs 1481) and more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1480.6 Elo 1577.2
1486.0 Elo (surface) 1598.1
4 Wins (Challenger) 12
4 Wins (surface) 11
4 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.860 Dominance ratio 0.920
547 Rank 428
28.4 Age 19.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Wiedenmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Henry Bernet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Wiedenmann Henry Bernet

1st Serve In %

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%
61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%
51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%
25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.54
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Wiedenmann Henry Bernet

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Wiedenmann 00 Henry Bernet

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Henry Bernet #428

Luca Wiedenmann #547

6-2 6-3
0 Aces 14
2 Double Faults 2
64 Service Points 50
38 First Serve In 33
23 First Serve Won 28
10 Second Serve Won 9
6 Break Points Saved 0
9 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Luca Wiedenmann — Last 10

L W L L L L W L W W

Henry Bernet — Last 10

L W L W L W L L W W