ATP tennis predict — Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet

ATP Clay Umag · R16

Predicted probability

Luca Van Assche

France

41.01%

Titouan Droguet

France

58.99%

Average Odds

2.17 / 1.67

Market probability

43.49% / 56.51%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (67.6% vs 52.0% of service points won), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1781 vs 1765) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.14).

Player Comparison

1719.4 Elo 1734.4

1764.7 Elo (surface) 1780.5

51 Wins 38

16 Wins (surface) 16

7 Last 15 form 10

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.019 Dominance ratio 1.044

86 Rank 119

22.2 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Van Assche

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Van Assche Titouan Droguet

1st Serve In %

60.7%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Van Assche Titouan Droguet

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.8%

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Van Assche 2 – 0 Titouan Droguet

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-03

1. round

Titouan Droguet #119

Luca Van Assche #49

6-4 2-6 7-6

3 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 4

108 Service Points 102

72 First Serve In 61

50 First Serve Won 43

16 Second Serve Won 21

6 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 5

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Umag · 2026-07-15

R16

Titouan Droguet #119

Luca Van Assche #86

6-1 1-6 7-5

0 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 5

72 Service Points 83

52 First Serve In 49

29 First Serve Won 35

10 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

18 Winners 31

30 Unforced Errors 44

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Quimper CH · 2026-01-27

QF

Luca Van Assche #165

Titouan Droguet #155

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 0

53 Service Points 63

32 First Serve In 32

24 First Serve Won 19

16 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Roanne CH · 2024-10-07

R32

Luca Van Assche #121

Titouan Droguet #166

7-6(4) 6-3

5 Aces 7

0 Double Faults 3

81 Service Points 61

57 First Serve In 32

35 First Serve Won 23

19 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 7