ATP tennis predict — Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx

ATP Clay Estoril · F

Predicted probability

Luca Van Assche

France

53.47%

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

46.53%

Average Odds

2.41 / 1.55

Market probability

39.14% / 60.86%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1755.6 Elo 1721.7

1810.3 Elo (surface) 1757.9

55 Wins 39

20 Wins (surface) 17

8 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.057 Dominance ratio 1.083

78 Rank 38

22.2 Age 21.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Van Assche

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Van Assche Alexander Blockx

1st Serve In %

60.7%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.1%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

75.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Van Assche Alexander Blockx

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.8%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Van Assche 1 – 0 Alexander Blockx

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-26

F

Luca Van Assche #47

Alexander Blockx #63

6-4 4-6 7-5

1 Aces 7

8 Double Faults 7

93 Service Points 97

76 First Serve In 44

46 First Serve Won 30

4 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 13

36 Winners 31

38 Unforced Errors 48

2.4 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Lille CH · 2026-02-16

F

Luca Van Assche #130

Alexander Blockx #104

6-2 6-4

1 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

58 Service Points 46

33 First Serve In 35

23 First Serve Won 24

19 Second Serve Won 3

3 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx — Prediction