ATP tennis predict — Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Luca Van Assche

France

62.57%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

37.43%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.48

Market probability

62.16% / 37.84%

Why This Prediction?

Luca Van Assche is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1804 vs 1682), a stronger return game (38.9% vs 34.0% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1654 vs 1635).

Player Comparison

1803.7 Elo 1682.1

1653.5 Elo (surface) 1635.2

58 Wins 81

31 Wins (surface) 61

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.010 Dominance ratio 0.991

40 Rank 89

22.3 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Van Assche

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Van Assche Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

60.7%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

20.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.1%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Van Assche Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.8%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Van Assche 0 – 0 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-25

2. round

Aleksandar Kovacevic #89

Luca Van Assche #40

6-1 7-6

4 Aces 8

6 Double Faults 4

61 Service Points 65

35 First Serve In 38

21 First Serve Won 29

14 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 4

13 Winners 26

29 Unforced Errors 32

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Prediction