ATP tennis predict — Luca Staeheli vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Luca Staeheli

Switzerland

33.98%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

66.02%

Average Odds

3.55 / 1.24

Market probability

25.89% / 74.11%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Andrade is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1746 vs 1573), a higher Elo rating (1762 vs 1666) and more wins on hard courts (43 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1665.6 Elo 1761.9

1572.8 Elo (surface) 1745.7

16 Wins (Challenger) 78

5 Wins (surface) 43

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.330 Dominance ratio 0.791

448 Rank 206

26.6 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Staeheli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Staeheli Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

—

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.2%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

50.0%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.5%

51.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Staeheli Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

—

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

52.4%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Staeheli 0 – 0 Andres Andrade

Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 2026-09-30

R16

Andres Andrade #206

Luca Staeheli #448

6-3 7-6

5 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 23

18 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.5

Luca Staeheli vs Andres Andrade — Prediction