ATP tennis predict — Luca Sanchez vs Daniel De Jonge

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Luca Sanchez

France

20.81%

Daniel De Jonge

Netherlands

79.19%

Average Odds

3.58 / 1.22

Market probability

25.42% / 74.58%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel De Jonge is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1442 vs 1321), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1500 vs 1330) and fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.34).

Player Comparison

1320.9 Elo 1442.5

1329.8 Elo (surface) 1500

0 Wins (Challenger) 1

0 Wins (surface) 0

0 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.501 Dominance ratio 0.917

- Rank 568

27.5 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Sanchez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Daniel De Jonge

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Sanchez Daniel De Jonge

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

54.4%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.8%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

32.6%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.60

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Sanchez Daniel De Jonge

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

18.8%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Sanchez 0 – 0 Daniel De Jonge

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Daniel De Jonge #568

Luca Sanchez #-

6-4 7-6

16 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

36 First Serve Won 33

12 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Luca Sanchez vs Daniel De Jonge — Prediction