ATP tennis predict — Luca Potenza vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Luca Potenza

Italy

31.87%

Enrico Dalla Valle

Italy

68.13%

Average Odds

3.68 / 1.24

Market probability

25.20% / 74.80%

Why This Prediction?

Enrico Dalla Valle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1696 vs 1481), a higher Elo rating (1703 vs 1581) and a stronger serve (67.3% vs 57.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1580.5 Elo 1703.2

1481.5 Elo (surface) 1695.8

58 Wins (Challenger) 123

23 Wins (surface) 98

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.962 Dominance ratio 1.024

536 Rank 320

26.2 Age 28.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Potenza

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Potenza Enrico Dalla Valle

1st Serve In %

—

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Potenza Enrico Dalla Valle

Break Points Saved %

—

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

12.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

52.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Potenza 0 – 1 Enrico Dalla Valle

Clay Cervia CH · 2026-05-18

Q2

Enrico Dalla Valle #488

Luca Potenza #454

7-6(3) 6-4

8 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 1

64 Service Points 87

42 First Serve In 59

33 First Serve Won 34

11 Second Serve Won 17

0 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Luca Potenza vs Enrico Dalla Valle — Prediction