Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
1.29 / 3.34
Market probability
72.14% / 27.86%
Why This Prediction?
Luca Nardi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1717 vs 1531), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1714 vs 1513) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 37.3% of return points won).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Luca Nardi
12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.
Lorenzo Carboni
11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Luca Nardi and Lorenzo Carboni have never played each other.