ATP tennis predict — Luca Castelnuovo vs Tsung Hao Huang

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:00

Predicted probability

Luca Castelnuovo

Switzerland

52.68%

Tsung Hao Huang

Chinese Taipei

47.32%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.60

Market probability

64.52% / 35.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1378.5 Elo 1413.9

1409.2 Elo (surface) 1398.4

31 Wins (Challenger) 28

23 Wins (surface) 25

4 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.271 Dominance ratio 0.880

461 Rank 628

29.6 Age 26.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luca Castelnuovo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tsung Hao Huang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Castelnuovo Tsung Hao Huang

1st Serve In %

65.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

84.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

64.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.67

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.1%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luca Castelnuovo Tsung Hao Huang

Break Points Saved %

92.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

60.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

60.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luca Castelnuovo 0 – 0 Tsung Hao Huang

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Luca Castelnuovo #461

Tsung Hao Huang #628

6-4 6-2

12 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

48 Service Points 50

31 First Serve In 34

29 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Luca Castelnuovo vs Tsung Hao Huang — Prediction