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Louis Wessels vs Peetu Pohjola — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Louis Wessels

Germany

69.60%

Peetu Pohjola

Finland

30.40%

Average Odds

1.05  /  8.67

Market probability

89.20%  /  10.80%

Why This Prediction?

Louis Wessels is the favorite because he has more career match wins (52 vs 1), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1530 vs 1478) and more wins on clay courts (37 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1521.3 Elo 1472.6
1529.6 Elo (surface) 1477.5
52 Wins (Challenger) 1
37 Wins (surface) 1
11 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.949 Dominance ratio 0.765
539 Rank 1642
27.9 Age 25.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Louis Wessels

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Peetu Pohjola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Louis Wessels Peetu Pohjola

1st Serve In %

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%
63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
58.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%
34.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%
50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.49
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Louis Wessels Peetu Pohjola

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

29.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.7%
38.7%

Break Points Converted %

29.8%
44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Louis Wessels 00 Peetu Pohjola

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Louis Wessels #539

Peetu Pohjola #1642

6-0 6-3
2 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 1
36 Service Points 47
16 First Serve In 33
8 First Serve Won 24
7 Second Serve Won 11
1 Break Points Saved 2
5 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 8.7

Louis Wessels — Last 10

L L L W W L W W W L

Peetu Pohjola — Last 5

L W L L L