ATP tennis predict — Louis Wessels vs Andrej Martin

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Louis Wessels

Germany

41.77%

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

58.23%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.59

Market probability

42.18% / 57.82%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1539), more wins on clay courts (289 vs 38) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1603 vs 1546).

Player Comparison

1539.0 Elo 1610.3

1546.4 Elo (surface) 1603.4

53 Wins (Challenger) 336

38 Wins (surface) 289

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.832 Dominance ratio 1.329

430 Rank 380

28.1 Age 37.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Louis Wessels

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Louis Wessels Andrej Martin

1st Serve In %

63.8%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.2%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

58.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Louis Wessels Andrej Martin

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

29.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.7%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

29.8%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Louis Wessels 0 – 1 Andrej Martin

Clay Maia 1 CH · 2021-12-06

QF

Andrej Martin #120

Louis Wessels #380

6-2 5-7 6-4

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

92 Service Points 100

55 First Serve In 68

42 First Serve Won 45

19 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Louis Wessels vs Andrej Martin — Prediction