ATP tennis predict — Louis Wessels vs Alibek Kachmazov

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:10

Predicted probability

Louis Wessels

Germany

48.09%

Alibek Kachmazov

Russia

51.91%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.68

Market probability

44.68% / 55.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1514.2 Elo 1424.0

1355.0 Elo (surface) 1419.9

53 Wins (Challenger) 94

13 Wins (surface) 82

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.862 Dominance ratio 0.845

490 Rank 822

28.0 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Louis Wessels

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Alibek Kachmazov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Louis Wessels Alibek Kachmazov

1st Serve In %

63.8%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.2%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Louis Wessels Alibek Kachmazov

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

65.3%

Break Points Converted %

29.3%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.7%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

29.8%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Louis Wessels 0 – 0 Alibek Kachmazov

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Alibek Kachmazov #822

Louis Wessels #490

6-3 7-6

7 Aces 13

4 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 81

44 First Serve In 54

35 First Serve Won 40

7 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Louis Wessels vs Alibek Kachmazov — Prediction