ATP tennis predict — Lorenzo Sonego vs Vit Kopriva

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Sonego

Italy

56.24%

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

43.76%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.26

Market probability

58.25% / 41.75%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Sonego is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1578 vs 1545), a higher Elo rating (1739 vs 1693) and more wins on hard courts (110 vs 21).

Player Comparison

1738.8 Elo 1693.0

1578.4 Elo (surface) 1544.6

214 Wins 69

110 Wins (surface) 21

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.006 Dominance ratio 0.993

88 Rank 71

31.3 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Sonego

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Sonego Vit Kopriva

1st Serve In %

60.7%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.1%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.6%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Sonego Vit Kopriva

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Sonego 0 – 1 Vit Kopriva

Clay Marrakech · 2025-03-31

R16

Vit Kopriva #106

Lorenzo Sonego #38

6-2 5-7 6-4

2 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 2

104 Service Points 88

67 First Serve In 55

42 First Serve Won 34

18 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 9

10 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lorenzo Sonego vs Vit Kopriva — Prediction