ATP tennis predict — Lorenzo Rottoli vs Stefano Dagostino

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Rottoli

Italy

78.28%

Stefano Dagostino

Italy

21.72%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.11

Market probability

55.97% / 44.03%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Rottoli is the favorite because he has more career match wins (21 vs 2) and more wins on clay courts (16 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1459.0 Elo 1472.4

1449.2 Elo (surface) 1472.0

21 Wins (Challenger) 2

16 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.988 Dominance ratio 0.988

812 Rank 755

24.6 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Rottoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Stefano Dagostino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Rottoli Stefano Dagostino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.35

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Rottoli Stefano Dagostino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Rottoli 0 – 0 Stefano Dagostino

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Stefano Dagostino #755

Lorenzo Rottoli #812

6-3 6-3

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Lorenzo Rottoli vs Stefano Dagostino — Prediction