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Lorenzo Rottoli vs Lorenzo Angelini — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Rottoli

Italy

64.92%

Lorenzo Angelini

Italy

35.08%

Average Odds

2.10  /  1.67

Market probability

44.30%  /  55.70%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Rottoli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1404 vs 1363), more career match wins (19 vs 4) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1397 vs 1377).

Player Comparison

1404.1 Elo 1362.7
1396.9 Elo (surface) 1376.8
19 Wins (Challenger) 4
14 Wins (surface) 4
6 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.016 Dominance ratio 0.975
901 Rank 570
24.5 Age 20.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Rottoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Lorenzo Angelini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Rottoli Lorenzo Angelini

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.7%
61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%
59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%
43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%
37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%
52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Rottoli Lorenzo Angelini

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%
53.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%
42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Rottoli 00 Lorenzo Angelini

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Lorenzo Rottoli #901

Lorenzo Angelini #570

6-3 6-3
4 Aces 4
4 Double Faults 3
82 Service Points 61
43 First Serve In 38
28 First Serve Won 19
20 Second Serve Won 11
12 Break Points Saved 8
14 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Lorenzo Rottoli — Last 10

L W L W L W L L L L

Lorenzo Angelini — Last 10

L L L L L W L L W W