ATP tennis predict — Lorenzo Rottoli vs Giuseppe La Vela

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Rottoli

Italy

60.22%

Giuseppe La Vela

Italy

39.78%

Average Odds

2.40 / 1.48

Market probability

38.14% / 61.86%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Rottoli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1399 vs 1373), a stronger return game (40.0% vs 37.1% of return points won) and more wins on clay courts (13 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1399.1 Elo 1373.4

1388.2 Elo (surface) 1370.9

18 Wins (Challenger) 5

13 Wins (surface) 5

5 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 0.902

905 Rank 501

24.5 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Rottoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Giuseppe La Vela

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Rottoli Giuseppe La Vela

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

45.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Rottoli Giuseppe La Vela

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

53.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Rottoli 0 – 0 Giuseppe La Vela

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Lorenzo Rottoli #901

Giuseppe La Vela #495

7-6 6-3

10 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 2

78 Service Points 73

50 First Serve In 47

38 First Serve Won 28

13 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Lorenzo Rottoli vs Giuseppe La Vela — Prediction