ATP tennis predict — Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · QF 13:30

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Giustino

Italy

37.98%

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

62.02%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.70

Market probability

45.21% / 54.79%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitar Kuzmanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1644 vs 1587), a stronger return game (43.1% vs 37.2% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1654 vs 1627).

Player Comparison

1586.9 Elo 1643.5

1626.7 Elo (surface) 1654.4

247 Wins (Challenger) 224

175 Wins (surface) 153

10 Last 15 form 10

3 Head-to-head wins 3

0.990 Dominance ratio 1.193

195 Rank 387

34.9 Age 33.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Giustino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Giustino Dimitar Kuzmanov

1st Serve In %

57.2%

70.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.6%

69.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Giustino Dimitar Kuzmanov

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.1%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Giustino 3 – 3 Dimitar Kuzmanov

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-20

QF

Lorenzo Giustino #195

Dimitar Kuzmanov #387

6-3 5-7 6-1

6 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

89 Service Points 78

54 First Serve In 62

41 First Serve Won 41

16 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Hard Hersonissos 1 CH · 2026-03-02

QF

Dimitar Kuzmanov #264

Lorenzo Giustino #204

6-1 6-1

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

46 Service Points 50

35 First Serve In 29

24 First Serve Won 14

10 Second Serve Won 7

7 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Francavilla Al Mare CH · 2023-05-08

R16

Lorenzo Giustino #267

Dimitar Kuzmanov #211

1-6 7-6(1) 6-2

1 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 2

113 Service Points 91

80 First Serve In 69

48 First Serve Won 37

12 Second Serve Won 13

13 Break Points Saved 6

19 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Gijon · 2022-10-10

Q1

Lorenzo Giustino #277

Dimitar Kuzmanov #168

W/O

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Zug CH · 2022-07-25

QF

Dimitar Kuzmanov #189

Lorenzo Giustino #260

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

86 Service Points 61

52 First Serve In 44

32 First Serve Won 33

22 Second Serve Won 6

10 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Prague CH · 2022-05-02

SF

Lorenzo Giustino #223

Dimitar Kuzmanov #206

7-6(4) 4-6 6-2

2 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 0

94 Service Points 94

57 First Serve In 61

41 First Serve Won 36

16 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 8

9 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Biella 5 CH · 2021-05-03

R32

Dimitar Kuzmanov #242

Lorenzo Giustino #175

6-3 1-6 6-3

1 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 6

80 Service Points 62

53 First Serve In 32

33 First Serve Won 23

11 Second Serve Won 12

7 Break Points Saved 0

12 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanov — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Giustino — Last 10

Dimitar Kuzmanov — Last 10