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Lorenzo Claverie vs Bruno Kuzuhara — Prediction

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Claverie

Italy

55.88%

Bruno Kuzuhara

USA

44.12%

Average Odds

2.23  /  1.59

Market probability

41.62%  /  58.38%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Claverie is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1602 vs 1418), a stronger serve (68.4% vs 62.6% of service points won) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1601.9 Elo 1418.1
1358.3 Elo (surface) 1360.5
11 Wins (Challenger) 43
1 Wins (surface) 14
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.961 Dominance ratio 1.139
871 Rank 622
23.8 Age 22.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Claverie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Bruno Kuzuhara

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Claverie Bruno Kuzuhara

1st Serve In %

68.3%
67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%
62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%
25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%
48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.70
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%
69.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.4%
69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%
30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%
49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.72
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Claverie Bruno Kuzuhara

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
51.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

76.7%
73.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Claverie 00 Bruno Kuzuhara

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Bruno Kuzuhara #616

Lorenzo Claverie #869

4-6 6-4 7-6
14 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 0
102 Service Points 93
80 First Serve In 79
60 First Serve Won 60
11 Second Serve Won 11
6 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Lorenzo Claverie — Last 10

L L L L L L W W W W

Bruno Kuzuhara — Last 10

L W L W W L L W L W