ATP tennis predict — Lorenzo Berto vs Lorenzo Bocchi

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Berto

Italy

17.45%

Lorenzo Bocchi

Italy

82.55%

Average Odds

3.46 / 1.20

Market probability

25.75% / 74.25%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Bocchi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1459 vs 1385), a higher Elo rating (1443 vs 1381) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1380.7 Elo 1443.3

1385.4 Elo (surface) 1459.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 11

0 Wins (surface) 11

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.190 Dominance ratio 0.857

1184 Rank 606

None Age 28.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Berto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Lorenzo Bocchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Berto Lorenzo Bocchi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Berto Lorenzo Bocchi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Berto 0 – 1 Lorenzo Bocchi

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Lorenzo Berto #1186

Lorenzo Bocchi #614

1-6 6-0 6-3

3 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 7

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

23 First Serve Won 15

16 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.5 Average Odds 1.2

Clay Trieste challenger · 2026-07-05

qualification - 1. round

Lorenzo Bocchi #625

Lorenzo Berto #1364

6-2 7-5

4 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 55

32 First Serve In 37

22 First Serve Won 31

12 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Lorenzo Berto vs Lorenzo Bocchi — Prediction