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Lorenzo Beraldo vs Dimitris Sakellaridis — Prediction

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.31  /  1.28

Market probability

27.89%  /  72.11%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1527 vs 1439), a higher Elo rating (1478 vs 1439) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1439.0 Elo 1477.9
1439.0 Elo (surface) 1527.1
0 Wins (Challenger) 6
0 Wins (surface) 3
0 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.509 Dominance ratio 1.078
1275 Rank 561
20.0 Age 20.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Beraldo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Beraldo Dimitris Sakellaridis

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

70.5%
61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

38.7%
69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.5%
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
38.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

35.7%
61.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.05
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Beraldo Dimitris Sakellaridis

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

46.2%
46.8%

Break Points Converted %

62.5%
49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Beraldo 00 Dimitris Sakellaridis

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Dimitris Sakellaridis #561

Lorenzo Beraldo #1275

7-5 6-3
0 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 5
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
29 First Serve Won 33
7 Second Serve Won 10
2 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Lorenzo Beraldo — Last 2

L L

Dimitris Sakellaridis — Last 10

L W L W L W L W L W