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Lorenzo Angelini vs Laurent Lokoli — Prediction

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Lorenzo Angelini

Italy

50.99%

Laurent Lokoli

France

49.01%

Average Odds

3.50  /  1.28

Market probability

26.78%  /  73.22%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1395.6 Elo 1433.3
1414.7 Elo (surface) 1434.5
4 Wins (Challenger) 108
4 Wins (surface) 31
4 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.979 Dominance ratio 0.869
564 Rank 434
20.5 Age 31.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lorenzo Angelini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Laurent Lokoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Angelini Laurent Lokoli

1st Serve In %

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.6%
57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.0%
64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.9%
48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%
45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.13
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lorenzo Angelini Laurent Lokoli

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
52.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%
23.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lorenzo Angelini 00 Laurent Lokoli

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Laurent Lokoli #386

Lorenzo Angelini #570

6-2 6-1
0 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 2
49 Service Points 57
32 First Serve In 44
14 First Serve Won 30
10 Second Serve Won 7
4 Break Points Saved 5
9 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Lorenzo Angelini — Last 10

L L L L L W L L W W

Laurent Lokoli — Last 10

L L W L L L W L L W