ATP tennis predict — Loann Massard vs Jakub Paul

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Loann Massard

France

35.41%

Jakub Paul

Switzerland

64.59%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.48

Market probability

38.74% / 61.26%

Why This Prediction?

Jakub Paul is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1635 vs 1429), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1556 vs 1471) and more career match wins (82 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1428.9 Elo 1635.2

1471.0 Elo (surface) 1556.1

8 Wins (Challenger) 82

8 Wins (surface) 44

4 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.037 Dominance ratio 1.071

768 Rank 1090

21.2 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Loann Massard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Jakub Paul

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-17.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Loann Massard Jakub Paul

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.07

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Loann Massard Jakub Paul

Break Points Saved %

—

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Loann Massard and Jakub Paul have never played each other.

Loann Massard vs Jakub Paul — Prediction