ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 22:30

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

37.92%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Greece

62.08%

Average Odds

2.91 / 1.41

Market probability

32.64% / 67.36%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Tsitsipas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1848 vs 1752), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1819 vs 1763) and a stronger return game (38.0% vs 35.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1752.3 Elo 1848.2

1763.2 Elo (surface) 1819.0

136 Wins 426

104 Wins (surface) 254

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.194 Dominance ratio 1.046

139 Rank 53

29.5 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Stefanos Tsitsipas

1st Serve In %

59.0%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

80.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

62.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Stefanos Tsitsipas

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

75.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 0 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Hard US Open · 2026-09-02

2. round

Stefanos Tsitsipas #53

Lloyd Harris #139

6-7 6-3 7-6 6-4

13 Aces 15

4 Double Faults 3

157 Service Points 134

93 First Serve In 68

72 First Serve Won 55

28 Second Serve Won 38

12 Break Points Saved 2

17 Break Points Faced 4

37 Winners 57

37 Unforced Errors 50

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Prediction