ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · R16 23:30

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

64.94%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

35.06%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.76

Market probability

66.67% / 33.33%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1737 vs 1530), a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1589) and more wins on hard courts (100 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1708.2 Elo 1589.0

1736.8 Elo (surface) 1530.5

145 Wins (Challenger) 89

116 Wins (surface) 21

10 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.079 Dominance ratio 1.236

175 Rank 130

29.5 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Pablo Llamas Ruiz

1st Serve In %

59.0%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 1 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Hard US Open · 2026-08-28

qualification - 3. round

Lloyd Harris #139

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #126

7-6 6-3

14 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

69 Service Points 61

41 First Serve In 42

32 First Serve Won 29

14 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 2

27 Winners 10

19 Unforced Errors 17

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-21

R16

Lloyd Harris #175

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #130

6-4 4-3

10 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

53 Service Points 57

36 First Serve In 41

26 First Serve Won 26

9 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Hard Tenerife 2 CH · 2026-02-09

SF

Lloyd Harris #186

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #205

6-4 7-6(5)

5 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

86 Service Points 76

53 First Serve In 59

37 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 7

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction