ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgering

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 18:00

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

47.51%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

52.49%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.82

Market probability

66.98% / 33.02%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1646.3 Elo 1633.0

1679.2 Elo (surface) 1642.5

139 Wins (Challenger) 11

110 Wins (surface) 8

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.003 Dominance ratio 0.898

179 Rank 416

29.5 Age 19.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

59.0%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14

R16

Lloyd Harris #179

Mees Rottgering #416

7-5 6-4

7 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

68 Service Points 69

41 First Serve In 38

33 First Serve Won 28

17 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction