ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Mattia Bellucci

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · F 05:15

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

50.32%

Mattia Bellucci

Italy

49.68%

Average Odds

1.76 / 1.97

Market probability

52.82% / 47.18%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1927.4 Elo 1901.7

1896.8 Elo (surface) 1848.4

153 Wins (Challenger) 100

124 Wins (surface) 74

13 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.999 Dominance ratio 1.193

125 Rank 91

29.6 Age 25.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Mattia Bellucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Mattia Bellucci

1st Serve In %

58.7%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

42.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.89

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.09

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Mattia Bellucci

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

27.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 1 Mattia Bellucci

Clay Roland Garros · 2024-05-27

Q2

Mattia Bellucci #173

Lloyd Harris #132

6-1 7-6(9)

4 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 65

40 First Serve In 31

30 First Serve Won 24

18 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lloyd Harris vs Mattia Bellucci — Prediction