ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Luka Pavlovic

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · R16 05:35

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

82.24%

Luka Pavlovic

France

17.76%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.28

Market probability

78.24% / 21.76%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1912 vs 1660), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1879 vs 1641) and more wins on hard courts (108 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1912.3 Elo 1660.0

1879.3 Elo (surface) 1640.8

150 Wins (Challenger) 58

121 Wins (surface) 12

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.999 Dominance ratio 0.898

125 Rank 205

29.6 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Luka Pavlovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Luka Pavlovic

1st Serve In %

58.7%

53.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.89

0.84

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

40.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.08

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Luka Pavlovic

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

29.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris and Luka Pavlovic have never played each other.

Lloyd Harris vs Luka Pavlovic — Prediction