ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Kenta Miyoshi

ATP Hard Chengdu · qualification - round of 16 08:30

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

77.61%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

22.39%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.66

Market probability

74.39% / 25.61%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1883 vs 1625), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1848 vs 1619) and more wins on hard courts (104 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1882.9 Elo 1625.1

1848.4 Elo (surface) 1619.1

136 Wins 0

104 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.156 Dominance ratio 0.832

136 Rank -

29.6 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

59.0%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 0 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Chengdu · 2026-09-22

qualification - round of 16

Lloyd Harris #136

Kenta Miyoshi #-

6-3 7-5

8 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 20

10 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.7

Lloyd Harris vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction