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Lloyd Harris vs Jack Kennedy — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

90.46%

Jack Kennedy

USA

9.54%

Average Odds

1.15  /  5.53

Market probability

82.78%  /  17.22%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1748 vs 1491), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1758 vs 1506) and more career match wins (148 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1748.0 Elo 1491.2
1758.2 Elo (surface) 1506.2
135 Wins 0
103 Wins (surface) 0
10 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.120 Dominance ratio 0.736
139 Rank 386
29.5 Age 18.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Jack Kennedy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Jack Kennedy

1st Serve In %

59.0%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
16.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
45.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.83
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%
73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
57.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Jack Kennedy

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%
22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%
59.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 00 Jack Kennedy

Hard US Open · 2026-08-30
6-4 6-2 6-2
16 Aces 4
1 Double Faults 2
68 Service Points 70
38 First Serve In 44
30 First Serve Won 26
20 Second Serve Won 12
0 Break Points Saved 3
1 Break Points Faced 9
31 Winners 15
25 Unforced Errors 26
1.1 Average Odds 5.5

Lloyd Harris — Last 10

W W L W L W W W W L

Jack Kennedy — Last 7

L L L L W W L