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Lloyd Harris vs Henry Searle — Prediction

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

43.64%

Henry Searle

Great Britain

56.36%

Average Odds

1.66  /  2.13

Market probability

56.20%  /  43.80%

Why This Prediction?

Henry Searle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1761 vs 1634).

Player Comparison

1634.2 Elo 1761.1
1674.5 Elo (surface) 1601.5
137 Wins (Challenger) 36
108 Wins (surface) 20
11 Last 15 form 13
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.985 Dominance ratio 0.798
179 Rank 217
29.4 Age 20.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Henry Searle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Henry Searle

1st Serve In %

59.0%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
21.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.83
0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%
25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Henry Searle

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
56.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%
28.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 00 Henry Searle

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-04
7-5 2-6 6-3
4 Aces 8
2 Double Faults 5
82 Service Points 108
60 First Serve In 55
42 First Serve Won 39
11 Second Serve Won 28
6 Break Points Saved 5
9 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Lloyd Harris — Last 10

W W L W L W W W W L

Henry Searle — Last 10

W W L L L L W W W W