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Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · QF 17:30

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

54.63%

Harry Wendelken

Great Britain

45.37%

Average Odds

1.29  /  2.89

Market probability

69.14%  /  30.86%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1646.3 Elo 1590.3
1679.2 Elo (surface) 1702.6
139 Wins (Challenger) 48
110 Wins (surface) 42
10 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.003 Dominance ratio 1.118
179 Rank 201
29.5 Age 24.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Harry Wendelken

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Harry Wendelken

1st Serve In %

59.0%
54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.83
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%
69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%
31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
56.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Harry Wendelken

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
68.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%
39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%
57.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 00 Harry Wendelken

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14
5-7 6-2 7-5
13 Aces 1
6 Double Faults 7
107 Service Points 97
72 First Serve In 40
50 First Serve Won 21
11 Second Serve Won 31
8 Break Points Saved 5
13 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Lloyd Harris — Last 10

W W L W L W W W W L

Harry Wendelken — Last 10

L L W W W L W W L W