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Lloyd Harris vs Dusan Lajovic — Prediction

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

58.15%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

41.85%

Average Odds

1.59  /  2.25

Market probability

58.59%  /  41.41%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (71.0% vs 64.5% of service points won), more wins on hard courts (109 vs 32) and more aces per game (0.48 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1648.6 Elo 1659.4
1684.1 Elo (surface) 1642.6
138 Wins (Challenger) 147
109 Wins (surface) 32
11 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 2
0.982 Dominance ratio 0.980
179 Rank 149
29.4 Age 36.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

59.0%
67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%
48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.83
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%
69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%
28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
60.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%
28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%
51.9%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 1 – 2 Dusan Lajovic

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Dusan Lajovic #149

Lloyd Harris #179

0-6 6-3 6-4
3 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 2
86 Service Points 79
44 First Serve In 44
35 First Serve Won 29
18 Second Serve Won 20
4 Break Points Saved 6
6 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.2 Average Odds 1.6
Clay Marrakech · 2026-03-30

Q2

Dusan Lajovic #132

Lloyd Harris #152

6-4 6-4
5 Aces 6
0 Double Faults 1
58 Service Points 65
39 First Serve In 49
34 First Serve Won 36
9 Second Serve Won 5
1 Break Points Saved 6
1 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Atp Cup · 2020-01-06

RR

Dusan Lajovic #34

Lloyd Harris #99

3-6 7-6(4) 6-3
1 Aces 15
1 Double Faults 5
87 Service Points 96
60 First Serve In 63
44 First Serve Won 46
17 Second Serve Won 13
0 Break Points Saved 6
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Chengdu · 2019-09-23

R16

Lloyd Harris #111

Dusan Lajovic #29

6-3 6-3
16 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 1
50 Service Points 60
32 First Serve In 40
28 First Serve Won 23
10 Second Serve Won 13
0 Break Points Saved 6
0 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Lloyd Harris — Last 10

W W L W L W W W W L

Dusan Lajovic — Last 10

L L W W W W L W W L