ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Darwin Blanch

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 03:45

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

69.63%

Darwin Blanch

USA

30.37%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.63

Market probability

64.46% / 35.54%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1737 vs 1397), a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1562) and more wins on hard courts (100 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1708.2 Elo 1562.5

1736.8 Elo (surface) 1396.7

145 Wins (Challenger) 29

116 Wins (surface) 17

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.079 Dominance ratio 1.028

175 Rank 224

29.5 Age 18.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Darwin Blanch

1st Serve In %

59.0%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Darwin Blanch

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

55.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 0 Darwin Blanch

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-20

1. round

Lloyd Harris #175

Darwin Blanch #224

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 0

54 Service Points 52

34 First Serve In 37

24 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Lloyd Harris vs Darwin Blanch — Prediction