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Lloyd Harris vs Andrew Fenty — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

61.01%

Andrew Fenty

USA

38.99%

Average Odds

1.24  /  3.79

Market probability

75.35%  /  24.65%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1549), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1671 vs 1568) and more wins on hard courts (100 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1638.3 Elo 1549.5
1670.5 Elo (surface) 1567.9
138 Wins (Challenger) 26
109 Wins (surface) 25
10 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.984 Dominance ratio 0.943
179 Rank 394
29.5 Age 26.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Andrew Fenty

1st Serve In %

59.0%
61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.83
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%
67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%
25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Andrew Fenty

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
58.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%
34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%
65.9%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 00 Andrew Fenty

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-12
7-6 6-1
13 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 5
75 Service Points 80
47 First Serve In 56
39 First Serve Won 31
13 Second Serve Won 12
5 Break Points Saved 7
6 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Lloyd Harris — Last 10

W W L W L W W W W L

Andrew Fenty — Last 10

L W L L W W L W L W