ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Andre Ilagan

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · QF 07:00

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

77.64%

Andre Ilagan

USA

22.36%

Average Odds

1.19 / 3.91

Market probability

76.67% / 23.33%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1912 vs 1738), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1879 vs 1714) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 57.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1912.3 Elo 1737.7

1879.3 Elo (surface) 1713.6

150 Wins (Challenger) 84

121 Wins (surface) 81

12 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.999 Dominance ratio 1.075

125 Rank 195

29.6 Age 25.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Andre Ilagan

1st Serve In %

58.7%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.89

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.08

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Andre Ilagan

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 1 – 0 Andre Ilagan

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-16

F

Lloyd Harris #175

Andre Ilagan #210

6-2 7-6

1 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 3

72 Service Points 62

50 First Serve In 40

34 First Serve Won 35

11 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Lloyd Harris vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction