ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · SF 05:05

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

77.91%

Alex Bolt

Australia

22.09%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.55

Market probability

79.41% / 20.59%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1922 vs 1731), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1891 vs 1693) and a stronger return game (37.2% vs 29.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1922.2 Elo 1731.3

1891.1 Elo (surface) 1693.2

152 Wins (Challenger) 197

123 Wins (surface) 153

13 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.999 Dominance ratio 1.021

125 Rank 183

29.6 Age 33.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Alex Bolt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Alex Bolt

1st Serve In %

58.7%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.2%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

37.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.89

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

62.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.09

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Alex Bolt

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

71.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 1 Alex Bolt

Hard Fairfield CH · 2018-10-08

QF

Alex Bolt #155

Lloyd Harris #113

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 1

80 Service Points 62

44 First Serve In 38

34 First Serve Won 28

18 Second Serve Won 10

8 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt — Prediction